Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
