Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 72.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
