Nations League | League C
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 2Romania
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 0-2 Romania
A class above their opponents at League C level, an ascendant Romania side should prolong their 100% record at Lithuania's expense. While the visitors may be bound for League B when the group phase wraps up next month, their ailing hosts are set to stay pointless with just two games to go. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Romania |
19.09% ( -0.49) | 24.56% ( -0.21) | 56.35% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
