

MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 | 
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -11 | 34 | 
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 | 
| 3 | Minnesota United | 31 | 0 | 45 | 
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | -3 | 43 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United | 
| 55.98% (  -0.43) | 22.92% (  0.09) | 21.1% (  0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 53.65% (  0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.01% (  0.01) | 45.99% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.71% (  0.01) | 68.29% (  -0.01) | 
| Sporting Kansas City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.75% (  -0.14) | 16.25% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.23% (  -0.26) | 45.77% (  0.26) | 
| Minnesota United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.06% (  0.34) | 35.94% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.28% (  0.34) | 72.72% (  -0.34) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United | 
| 1-0 @ 10.61% (  -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.98% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.84% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.06% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.65% (  -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% (  -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% (  -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% (  0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.98% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 5.56% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 3.06% (  0.05) 1-3 @ 1.9% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.04% (  0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.1% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 | 
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 | 
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 | 
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 | 
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | 
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 | 
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 | 
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | 
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
