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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -11 | 34 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 31 | 0 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | -3 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 55.98% ( | 22.92% ( | 21.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( | 45.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( | 68.29% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( | 16.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.23% ( | 45.77% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( | 35.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.28% ( | 72.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
