Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niort would win this match.
