Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
