Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Annecy win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.