Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 19.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
61.51% | 19.12% | 19.36% |
Both teams to score 64.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.34% | 30.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.02% | 51.98% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% | 9.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.59% | 32.41% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% | 28.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% | 64.5% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7.35% 1-0 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 4.28% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-2 @ 1.25% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-1 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 66 |
2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 54 |
5 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
6 | Lille | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
7 | Nice | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
8 | Lorient | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 44 |
9 | Reims | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
10 | Lyon | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Clermont | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
14 | NantesNantes | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
17 | Brest | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Angers | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 10 |
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