Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 35.9% | 27.25% | 36.85% |
| Both teams to score 50.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% | 55.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% | 76.58% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.48% | 65.51% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% | 28.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.19% | 64.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Lille | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Rennes | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Nice | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Reims | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Lyon | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 | Clermont | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Brest | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 23 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 21 |
| 19 | Troyes | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 20 |
| 20 | Angers | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 10 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
