Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 64.94% | 20.15% | 14.92% |
| Both teams to score 50.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% | 43.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% | 66.24% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% | 12.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.03% | 38.97% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% | 41.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.17% Total : 64.93% | 1-1 @ 9.57% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.15% | 0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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