Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-0 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 23.08% | 24.81% | 52.11% |
| Both teams to score 50.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% | 37.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.02% | 73.98% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% | 19.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.16% | 51.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.08% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 5.16% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 90 | 36 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Rennes | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 82 | 40 | 42 | 66 |
| 5 | Nice | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 66 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | NantesNantes | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 32 |
| R | Metz | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 31 |
| R | Bordeaux | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 31 |
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