Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 39.44% | 27.18% | 33.39% |
| Both teams to score 50.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% | 55.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% | 76.54% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% | 27.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.13% | 62.87% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% | 31.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3% Total : 33.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 60 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | Lens | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
| 6 | Lille | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
| 7 | Nice | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
| 10 | Reims | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 37 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Clermont | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 22 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 21 |
| 17 | Ajaccio | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
| 19 | Troyes | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 19 |
| 20 | Angers | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 10 |
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