Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lyon |
| 28.87% | 24.05% | 47.08% |
| Both teams to score 58.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% | 43.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% | 66.23% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% | 28.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.89% | 64.11% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% | 18.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.82% | 50.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.07% 1-0 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.87% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-1 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.35% Total : 47.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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