Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.