Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.
