Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 24.58% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
| 50.96% ( | 24.46% | 24.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( | 48.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( | 70.93% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( | 19.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.17% | 50.83% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( | 34.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.98% ( | 71.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 36 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 71 | 28 | 43 | 80 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 60 |
| 5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 58 |
| 6 | Millwall | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 54 |
| 9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Watford | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 51 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 50 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 49 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 46 |
| 15 | Hull City | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Reading | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 44 |
| 17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
| 18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 42 |
| 19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 42 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 38 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 32 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 32 |
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