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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.32% | 26.99% | 34.69% |
Both teams to score 50.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% | 54.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% | 75.8% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% | 27.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.86% | 63.14% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% | 29.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% | 65.86% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
4 | Southampton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 24 |
5 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Hull City | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
11 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
14 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
16 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
18 | Millwall | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 15 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |
22 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 3 |
> Championship Full Table |