We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Swansea City
Given the inconsistency of the teams above them, both sides know the importance of collecting three points on Saturday. Nevertheless, with neither of these clubs particularly free-scoring, an uneventful draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
