Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
