Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
