Vissel Kobe 4-3 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - September 23, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 23, 2020 at 11am UK at Noevir Stadium Kobe

Yamaguchi (9'), Iniesta (20'), Furuhashi (55', 68')
Samper (26'), Nishi (29')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kanamori (17'), Harakawa (51'), Hayashi (71')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel Kobe	Draw	Sagan Tosu
53.15%	23.66%	23.18%

Both teams to score 54.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19%

46.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93%

69.07%

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44%

17.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.9%

48.1%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85%

71.15%

Score Analysis

Vissel Kobe 53.16%

Sagan Tosu 23.18%

Draw 23.66%

Vissel Kobe	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.16%	1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.45% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.18%