Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 | 
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 | 
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 | 
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 | 
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 | 
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka | 
| 47.85% (  0.06) | 29.45% (  0) | 22.7% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 38.16% (  -0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 32.77% (  -0.03) | 67.23% (  0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 14.58% (  -0.02) | 85.42% (  0.02) | 
| Nagoya Grampus Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.4% (  0.01) | 28.6% (  -0.01) | 





 






