CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2021 at 3.30am UK
El Salvador2 - 0Guatemala
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alfredo Morales Concua (32'), Carlos Pinto (34')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Guatemala |
| 47.61% | 27.46% | 24.92% |
| Both teams to score 44.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
