Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Gimnasia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
