Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 10.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.62%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.