Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between America Mineiro and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Santos | 10 | 4 | 13 |
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 22.8% | 26.26% | 50.94% |
| Both teams to score 45.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
