Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 24.64% | 25.81% | 49.55% |
| Both teams to score 49.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
