Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 25.5% | 25.8% | 48.7% |
| Both teams to score 49.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
