Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 0-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Banfield
Wednesday, September 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, September 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
21.05% ( -0.15) | 25.59% ( 0.01) | 53.35% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
