Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.