Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.
