Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
