World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mubarak International Stadium
Iraq3 - 1Vietnam
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Iraq and Vietnam.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Iraq
Thursday, June 6 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, June 6 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Vietnam |
53.18% ( 0) | 24.64% ( 0) | 22.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
