MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 03:10:43| >> :600:114263:114263:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Greece national football team
Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Scotland national football team

Greece
0 - 1
Scotland


Siopis (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McTominay (33' pen.)
Ferguson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League playoff between Greece and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Scotland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Greece 2-1 Scotland

 Although Scotland have most of their main men fit and ready this month - and they finally found a way to win at the end of 2024 - they may take a one-goal deficit back home. Winners at Wembley a few months ago, Greece can be vibrant in the final third and are a tight unit, so the hosts should get their noses in front before heading to Hampden. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawScotland
65.39% (0.524 0.52) 19.52% (-0.136 -0.14) 15.09% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-0.189 -0.19)40.64% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (-0.194 -0.19)63.03% (0.192 0.19)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (0.084999999999994 0.08)11.65% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3% (0.185 0.18)36.69% (-0.188 -0.19)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (-0.63 -0.63)39.62% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (-0.588 -0.59)76.3% (0.58500000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Greece 65.38%
    Scotland 15.09%
    Draw 19.52%
GreeceDrawScotland
2-0 @ 10.66% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.119 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.52%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.09%

How you voted: Greece vs Scotland

Greece
64.9%
Draw
15.5%
Scotland
19.6%
148
rhs 2.0
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