UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Greece
0 - 1
Scotland

(Greece win 3-1 on aggregate)

Siopis (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McTominay (33' pen.)
Ferguson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League playoff between Greece and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Scotland

All competitions

Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Greece	Draw	Scotland
65.39% ( 0.52)	19.52% ( -0.14)	15.09% ( -0.39)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Greece	Draw	Scotland
2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 65.38%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.52%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.09%