Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
 
Kuwait national football team

Iraq
vs.
Kuwait

Hashem (90', 90'), Bayesh (90', 90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Naser (39', 39', 70', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Kuwait, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iraq 1-3 Saudi Arabia
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Palestine vs. Iraq
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Kuwait
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Kuwait vs. Oman
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kuwait had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Kuwait win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
IraqDrawKuwait
57.02% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)23.3% (0.326 0.33)19.68% (0.21 0.21)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (-1.059 -1.06)49.39% (1.057 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.96 -0.96)71.44% (0.958 0.96)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.56699999999999 -0.57)17.1% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-1.007 -1.01)47.29% (1.005 1.01)
Kuwait Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64% (-0.384 -0.38)39.36% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (-0.362 -0.36)76.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 57.01%
    Kuwait 19.68%
    Draw 23.3%
IraqDrawKuwait
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.285 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.68%

How you voted: Iraq vs Kuwait

Iraq
67.7%
Draw
29.0%
Kuwait
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7pm
Third Round
Kuwait
0-0
Iraq
Al-Saed (90')
Sulaka (7')
Dec 30, 2022 12pm
International Friendly
Iraq
1-0
Kuwait
Faez (11')
Jan 27, 2021 3pm
Friendlies 3
Iraq
2-1
Kuwait
Dawood (79'), Hussein (89' pen.)
Al Rasheedi (24')
Sep 10, 2018 4.30pm
International Friendlies
Kuwait
2-2
Iraq
Ali Mhawi (47' og.), Al Hajeri (78')
Lateef (5'), Atiyah (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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