South Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Iraq national football team

South Korea
vs.
Iraq

Se-hun (41'), Hyeon-gyu (74'), Jae-sung (83')
Yong-woo (35'), Jae-sung (81'), Seon-min (96')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hussein (50'), Bayesh (95')
Saadoon (71'), Atiyah (96')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 South Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kuwait vs. South Korea
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Palestine
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iraq vs. Jordan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Korea win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (7.25%).

Result
South KoreaDrawIraq
52.51% (0.629 0.63)24.77% (0.032 0.03)22.72% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.759 -0.76)51.82% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.661 -0.66)73.58% (0.661 0.66)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)19.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)51.72% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-1.046 -1.05)37.66% (1.045 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (-1.036 -1.04)74.43% (1.035 1.04)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 52.5%
    Iraq 22.72%
    Draw 24.77%
South KoreaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: South Korea vs Iraq

South Korea
68.6%
Draw
19.6%
Iraq
11.8%
102
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 1pm
Friendlies 1
Iraq
0-1
South Korea

Al-Hajjaj (86'), Tahseen (88')
Jae-sung (40')
Kang-in (86')
Kang-in (86')
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Iraq
0-3
South Korea

Adnan (70')
Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')
Sep 2, 2021 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
0-0
Iraq
Son (39')
Abdul Zahra (78'), Al-Ammari (81'), Ibrahim Khalaf (90')
Jul 7, 2013 4pm
Quarter-finals
Iraq
3-3
South Korea
(Aggregate 3-3 | Iraq win 5-4 on penalties)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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