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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
South Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Iraq national football team

South Korea
vs.
Iraq

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 South Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kuwait vs. South Korea
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iraq

All competitions
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Palestine
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iraq vs. Jordan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: South Korea 2-0 Iraq

 After keeping clean sheets against Oman, Kuwait and Palestine, the defence of Iraq will face one of the sternest tests in AFC football on Tuesday night. Even with Spurs' Son out of action, we expect that South Korea will have too much quality for the visitors, resulting in a third win of the Group B campaign for the Taegeuk Warriors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Korea win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (7.25%).

Result
South KoreaDrawIraq
52.51% (0.629 0.63) 24.77% (0.032 0.03) 22.72% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.759 -0.76)51.82% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.661 -0.66)73.58% (0.661 0.66)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)19.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)51.72% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-1.046 -1.05)37.66% (1.045 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (-1.036 -1.04)74.43% (1.035 1.04)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 52.5%
    Iraq 22.72%
    Draw 24.77%
South KoreaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: South Korea vs Iraq

South Korea
68.6%
Draw
19.6%
Iraq
11.8%
102
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 1pm
Friendlies 1
Iraq
0-1
South Korea

Al-Hajjaj (86'), Tahseen (88')
Jae-sung (40')
Kang-in (86')
Kang-in (86')
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Iraq
0-3
South Korea

Adnan (70')
Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
0-0
Iraq
Son (39')
Abdul Zahra (78'), Al-Ammari (81'), Ibrahim Khalaf (90')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2013 4pm
Quarter-finals
Iraq
3-3
South Korea
(Aggregate 3-3 | Iraq win 5-4 on penalties)
Faez, Shakor
Changhoon, Gwanghun, Hyuncheol
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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