Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium
Iraq1 - 3Saudi Arabia
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Gulf Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Iraq and Saudi Arabia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahrain 2-0 Iraq
Wednesday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Wednesday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Yemen 2-3 Saudi Arabia
Wednesday, December 25 at 2.25pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Wednesday, December 25 at 2.25pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
35.39% ( -0.45) | 26.49% ( 0.13) | 38.11% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
