Iraq national football team
Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium
Saudi Arabia national football team

Iraq
1 - 3
Saudi Arabia

Ali (64')
Saadoun (21'), Farji (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al-Dawsari (57' pen.), Al Hamdan (81', 86')
Boushal (39'), Radif (53'), Al-Dawsari (63')
Coverage of the Gulf Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Bahrain 2-0 Iraq
Wednesday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Yemen 2-3 Saudi Arabia
Wednesday, December 25 at 2.25pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
IraqDrawSaudi Arabia
35.39% (-0.451 -0.45)26.49% (0.127 0.13)38.11% (0.321 0.32)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (-0.565 -0.57)52.33% (0.561 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (-0.486 -0.49)74.02% (0.485 0.48)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.541 -0.54)28.33% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.689 -0.69)64.06% (0.687 0.69)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)26.73% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.111 -0.11)62% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 35.39%
    Saudi Arabia 38.11%
    Draw 26.49%
IraqDrawSaudi Arabia
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Iraq vs Saudi Arabia

Iraq
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Saudi Arabia
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2018 7pm
International Friendlies
Saudi Arabia
1-1
Iraq
Al Bishi (90')
Ali (71')
Nadhim (45'), Yasin (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!