MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 00:59:16| >> :600:106376:106376:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Austria national football team
Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Serbia national football team

Austria
1 - 1
Serbia

Gregoritsch (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Samardzic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Austria and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Last Game: Austria 1-1 Slovenia
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Serbia

All competitions
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Denmark
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Austria 2-0 Serbia

 Serbia have not been in great form over the past year, and they have a few key players out for this match, whereas Austria seem to be making some good progress under Rangnick. They will need a comfortable lead to take with them into the tricky return leg, and we think that they can win by two goals here to set themselves up nicely for Sunday's crunch match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 13.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
AustriaDrawSerbia
65.16% (1.329 1.33) 20.98% (-0.498 -0.5) 13.86% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.396 0.4)49.49% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.354 0.35)71.52% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.54899999999999 0.55)14.42% (-0.551 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64% (1.051 1.05)42.36% (-1.052 -1.05)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.17% (-0.98200000000001 -0.98)46.83% (0.983 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.64% (-0.756 -0.76)82.36% (0.755 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Austria 65.15%
    Serbia 13.86%
    Draw 20.98%
AustriaDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 12.66% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.237 0.24)
4-1 @ 3% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.12 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 65.15%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.86%

How you voted: Austria vs Serbia

Austria
76.3%
Draw
11.9%
Serbia
11.9%
118
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Austria
2-1
Serbia
Wimmer (10'), Baumgartner (13')
Arnautovic (7'), Posch (71'), Laimer (83')
Pavlovic (35')
Mitrovic (72')
> Preview
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
3-2
Serbia
Burgstaller (25'), Arnautovic (76'), Schaub (89')
Milivojevic (11'), Matic (83')
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Serbia
3-2
Austria
Mitrovic (6', 23'), Tadic (74')
Sabitzer (16'), Janko (62')
rhs 2.0
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