Bulgaria

1 - 2

Rep. Ireland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.