MX23RW : Monday, May 19 08:41:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2025 at 12pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd
2 - 2
Man City

Clinton (45'), Malard (68')
Mannion (45+8'), Sandberg (90+5')
Mannion (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Aleixandri (38'), Knaak (42')
Prior (45+5'), Greenwood (57'), Keating (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 30 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

After Man United lost their unbeaten home league record in midweek, we think that the Citizens may sense this as a good time to play their local rivals, especially as they have had a full week to prepare for Sunday's fixture. We ultimately believe that Man City will do enough to claim all three points, especially as they have won four of their previous five away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 3-1 (6.41%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
52.57% (0.871 0.87) 21.17% (-0.253 -0.25) 26.26% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 66.41% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.92% (0.697 0.7)32.08% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.34% (0.81 0.81)53.65% (-0.816 -0.82)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.49900000000001 0.5)12.55% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.4% (1.03 1.03)38.59% (-1.035 -1.04)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)24.06% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)58.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 52.57%
    Manchester City Women 26.26%
    Draw 21.17%
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.118 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.57% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.076 0.08)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 52.57%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 26.26%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2025 6.45pm
Gameweek 11
Man City
2-4
Man Utd
Miedema (40'), Knaak (45+3')
Toone (14', 36', 46'), Galton (21')
George (51'), Clinton (81')
Mar 23, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Man City
3-1
Man Utd
Park (37', 45'), Shaw (46')
Casparij (73' og.)
Blundell (21'), Ferreira (90+2')
Nov 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Man Utd
1-3
Man City
Zelem (21' pen.)
Malard (68')
Roord (34'), Hemp (35'), Shaw (55')
Greenwood (21'), Aleixandri (48')
Aleixandri (72')
May 21, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 21
Man Utd
2-1
Man City
Ladd (2'), Garcia (90+1')
Zelem (90'), Garcia (90+2'), Boe Risa (90+5')
Angeldal (68')
Angeldal (77')
Roebuck (42')
Dec 11, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Man City
1-1
Man Utd
Coombs (58')
Galton (27')
rhs 2.0
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