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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2025 at 12pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd
vs.
Man City

Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Manchester City Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Man Utd
Saturday, April 19 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Next Game: Man Utd vs. Chelsea
Wednesday, April 30 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Everton
Sunday, April 20 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Next Game: Leicester vs. Man City
Sunday, April 27 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for Manchester City Women has a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.47%) and 3-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Manchester City Women win it is 1-2 (4.77%).

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
63.5% (0.746 0.75) 18.96% (-0.273 -0.27) 17.54% (-0.473 -0.47)
Both teams to score 61.26% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95% (0.488 0.49)33.05% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21% (0.557 0.56)54.78% (-0.555 -0.56)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.05% (0.32100000000001 0.32)9.95% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (0.738 0.74)32.9% (-0.737 -0.74)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)31.98% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (-0.225 -0.22)68.43% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 63.5%
    Manchester City Women 17.54%
    Draw 18.96%
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.29% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.24% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (0.111 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.44% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.074 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.036 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 63.5%
1-1 @ 8.37% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 17.54%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2025 6.45pm
Gameweek 11
Man City
2-4
Man Utd
Miedema (40'), Knaak (45+3')
Toone (14', 36', 46'), Galton (21')
George (51'), Clinton (81')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Man City
3-1
Man Utd
Park (37', 45'), Shaw (46')
Casparij (73' og.)
Blundell (21'), Ferreira (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Man Utd
1-3
Man City
Zelem (21' pen.)
Malard (68')
Roord (34'), Hemp (35'), Shaw (55')
Greenwood (21'), Aleixandri (48')
Aleixandri (72')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 21
Man Utd
2-1
Man City
Ladd (2'), Garcia (90+1')
Zelem (90'), Garcia (90+2'), Boe Risa (90+5')
Angeldal (68')
Angeldal (77')
Roebuck (42')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Man City
1-1
Man Utd
Coombs (58')
Galton (27')
> Preview
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