Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2025 at 12pm UK
Old Trafford
Man Utd2 - 2Man City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 30 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, April 30 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Man City
Sunday, April 27 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, April 27 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Manchester United Women 1-2 Manchester City Women
After Man United lost their unbeaten home league record in midweek, we think that the Citizens may sense this as a good time to play their local rivals, especially as they have had a full week to prepare for Sunday's fixture. We ultimately believe that Man City will do enough to claim all three points, especially as they have won four of their previous five away league games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 3-1 (6.41%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
52.57% (![]() | 21.17% (![]() | 26.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.92% (![]() | 32.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.34% (![]() | 53.65% (![]() |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.45% (![]() | 12.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.4% (![]() | 38.59% (![]() |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% (![]() | 24.06% (![]() |