Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
