Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.