Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.