Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
