Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
