Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
