Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
