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Hibs logo
Scottish League Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 4, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Hampden Park
Aberdeen logo
Hibernian
0 - 1
Aberdeen

Tavares (28'), Obita (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miovski (78')
Jensen (34'), MacKenzie (61'), Miovski (84'), Shinnie (88')
MacKenzie (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Ross County
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 1-0 Aberdeen

Hibernian need to recover quickly after an emotionally-draining collapse against Ross County last time out, and the reintroduction of many of their star players should be a massive boost. Aberdeen have been afforded just two days to prepare for this semi-final clash after a trip to Motherwell on Wednesday, and we believe the Reds will fall narrowly short at Hampden in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Aberdeen has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Aberdeen win is 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.94%).

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
44.51% (-1.914 -1.91) 23.83% (0.43 0.43) 31.66% (1.485 1.49)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.737 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-1.314 -1.31)41.38% (1.314 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-1.346 -1.35)63.78% (1.347 1.35)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (-1.293 -1.29)18.85% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (-2.204 -2.2)50.31% (2.205 2.21)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.27900000000001 0.28)25.32% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.38200000000001 0.38)60.1% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 44.51%
    Aberdeen 31.66%
    Draw 23.83%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.278 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.254 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.432 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.33 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.167 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aberdeen

Hibernian
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Aberdeen
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Aberdeen
0-2
Hibernian

Rubezic (26'), Shinnie (71')
Le Fondre (75'), Doidge (80')
Jeggo (17'), Campbell (32'), Hanlon (51'), Newell (85')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Aberdeen
0-0
Hibernian
Scales (1'), Coulson (78')
Newell (39'), Campbell (52'), Egan Riley (88'), McKirdy (88'), Jeggo (90+3')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hibernian
6-0
Aberdeen
Campbell (10', 15', 88'), Youan (45'), Nisbet (73'), Fish (90+1')
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Aberdeen
4-1
Hibernian
Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hibernian
3-1
Aberdeen
Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
Lopes (4')
rhs 2.0
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