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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Hazem
Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem

With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
41.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 28.75% (0.417 0.42) 29.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.06% (-1.404 -1.4)61.93% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (-1.048 -1.05)81.69% (1.045 1.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)29.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.108 -1.11)65.29% (1.106 1.11)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.8 -0.8)37.32% (0.795 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.797 -0.8)74.1% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 41.66%
    Al Hazem 29.57%
    Draw 28.75%
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.94% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem

Al-Ahli
82.9%
Draw
11.4%
Al Hazem
5.7%
35
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Al-Ahli
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
12am
Alcaraz
Paul
1.30am
Monfils
Sinner
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Fayha11003123
2Al-AhliAl-Ahli11003123
3Al Tai11001013
4Al-Nassr00000000
5Al WahdaAl Wahda00000000
6Abha00000000
7Al Fateh00000000
8Al-HilalAl-Hilal00000000
9Al Ettifaq00000000
10Al ShababAl Shabab00000000
11Al Okhdood00000000
12Al Ittihad00000000
13Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun00000000
14Al Riyadh00000000
15Al RaedAl Raed00000000
16Damac100101-10
17Al Hazem100113-20
18Al Khaleej100113-20

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