Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.